Black Money Tips: Ways to Get Rich

 

The smart way to get rich - MSN Money

Feel like taking a risk in hopes of hitting the jackpot on a rocket stock? #mediaarticle #articleBody #segment {HEIGHT: 1100px!Important}

Before you make the leap, you might want to get a grip on risk

Prices go up, prices go down, and you never know which way they're headed next. A lot of folks would say, well, that's risk. But really that's only half the picture. The other half is what you do in response.

After all, there's nothing wrong with risk itself. What's important is how you handle it. To know how to manage the risk-reward equation, you're first going to have to get a grip on what you're playing with -- and how much you can afford to lose.

It's pretty hard to talk about investment risk without falling into a lot of clichés about roller coasters and bungee jumping and being able to sleep at night. That imagery is entertaining but maybe not terribly helpful. Instead, let's start with the basics. We don't want to lose money, right?

"Obviously, negative return is risk," says Lee Schultheis, the CEO and chief investment strategist at AIP Mutual Funds in White Plains, N.Y.

Pros such as Schultheis use some pretty powerful computer-driven tools in their analysis of risk. Here are just a few of the concepts that are important to them:

• Standard deviation, much beloved of finance professors, measures how much the results of a process tend to vary. The higher the standard deviation, the more unpredictable the results.
• Correlation, used by those managing diversified portfolios, tells you how much two assets move together to reinforce -- or offset -- performance.
• Value at risk, often used by hedge funds, measures the likelihood that you will lose all of your money in any time period.

All three are mathematical concepts and require some comfort with statistics to calculate -- but not to understand. Each translates the uncertainties of risk into mathematical estimates of likelihood that offer a good basis for planning.

If you have an investment with a high standard deviation, close correlation to other investments or a high value at risk, you're taking on significantly more risk. If more than one of those factors is involved, watch out.

Let's say you're thinking about doubling up an investment in technology stocks. Results in that sector are going to be erratic to begin with.

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